Leadership in the face of
Catastrophic Climate Change?
http://redandgreen.org/Climate_Change/ MS Word version Last updated 7/23/2009
[ Note. This is a draft in preparation. Suggestions welcome. Send to wteague@redandgreen.org.]
We, the people of the world are threatened
with catastrophic climate changes. We dare not rely on the very leadership of
the market and corporate forces whose institutional greed and indifference
blindly brought us this crisis. By their nature, they will not act sufficiently
or in time to prevent or even lessen the escalating damages to the majority of
the world.
Instead, leadership must be driven by a world wide, mass movement that
understands the need for a comprehensive, crash program and is capable of
requiring governments and industry refocus national and global priorities for
the sake of saving human life on earth, even if it means reducing obscene short
term corporate profits. The priorities of this program must be both the
immediate needs of the people most affected by the crisis and the prevention of
permanent climate changes before irreversible tipping points are reached.
A worldwide response aimed at successfully preventing catastrophic climate
change, will require massive research and development and infrastructure
investment along with strict, enforceable government regulations and assistance
for individuals and business to sharply reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
Given the size and imminence of the many crises we face, people will need
persuasive and realistic plans to embrace. These plans must make clear what is
necessary and why, spelling out scientifically defined deadlines, goals and
outcomes, as early and effectively as possible, so the likely benefits of
peoples’ contributions and sacrifices are understood and endorsed and then
required of all governments and economic institutions.
To
succeed, this program must base its analysis and implementation on a scientific
and humane view of society that embraces the interests of all life; a socialist
response to climate change. This is still missing and was not present in the
Gulf Coast in August 2005.
Katrina as an understandable example of
what to avoid and how.
As
a model of what a catastrophic climate change
prevention plan would have to include, we could examine both what it would have
taken to prevent the Katrina disaster and why leadership, including the left
failed. Now, after Katrina we are still without adequate leadership or a
worldwide climate change prevention plan. It is vital we learn how to develop
such leadership, capable and willing to promote effective plans to prevent far
worse catastrophic climate changes.
“No More Katrinas!”
Katrina, the catastrophe is known to the
world and therefore provides a small, understandable model of what we all face.
(By Katrina, I mean the climate event and all that led up to and followed that
disaster.)
Katrina involved in lesser ways
everything we now face on a far larger scale;
1. A Catastrophic
Climate Threat that might have been prevented or lessened.
2. The existence of
prior scientifically based warnings, explanations and predictions.
3. Capitalism in
the Gulf region set the priorities and responses, showed indifference to the
extent of the human suffering and damage and continued to collude in the
exploitation of what followed.
4. The capitalist
driven response and outcome resulted in extreme and continuing damage to lives,
the economy and the future of the region, just as we now face even greater loss
of homes, jobs, health care and other services all leading to dramatic
disruptions in the lives of millions via increasing violence, disease, poverty,
and future insecurity. [Cite below, data to prove if needed.]
5. Official denial
and avoidance of reality provides maximum opportunities for greed and
exploitation which are justified by blaming the threat and outcomes on nature,
God, the immoral and the poor, thus protecting the current social-economic
order.
6. Katrina
represented on a relatively small scale the continuing imperial practices of
divide and exploit * the "expendable" via institutions and their
rationalizations such as institutional racism and economic disparity and the
glorification of corporate dominance, private property rights, national
security and the military industrial complex. (*as outlined in “Shock
Doctrine”)
So What is to be
Done?
So how would a socialist perspective
help prevent or respond to Katrina? Perhaps we can use the Katrina model to
construct such a plan for leadership and action.
In addition to analyzing Katrina and a
comparative analysis of the world-wide situation facing us all, we can use them
to create a basic, synthesized “broadside” that presents in clear and
persuasive language our basic thesis: that only an eco-socialist based plan can
succeed in preventing catastrophic climate changes and all the attendant
social, economic and human suffering. The broadside should show why a socialist
response is necessary, in both leadership and planning, to meet the scientific
and political demands required to make major changes in the political, economic
and military system sufficient to prevent catastrophic climate changes, and why
without it, we are likely to fail.
Comparison of Katrina and Catastrophic Climate Change (C3)
Here is a rough draft. We can add to and improve this
comparison and use the results to draft a broadside and position paper on
preventing catastrophic climate change, or “No More Katrinas” and why a
socialist response is necessary.
# |
Component |
Katrina |
C3 |
1 |
Prior political and
economic situation. |
New Orleans was a Democratic enclave in a
predominantly conservative Republican South, unlike most of the rest of the
Gulf Coast. Entire region had suffered the economic effects of globalization,
with job loss, especially in higher paying manufacturing sector. New Orleans
in particular was severely hit by the nationwide decline of municipal
economic health under the national Republican Administration. |
The last 50 years had seen the increasing domination
of global capitalism, under the increasingly hegemonic US influence.
There was an increasing gap between the wealthy players, principally
multi-national corporations and the countries they were based in, and the
"global south" of underdeveloped regions with high population
density and limited to non-existent resources. |
2 |
Scientific understanding
of risk and prevention needs. |
Recognition of increasing number of severe storms,
widely held to be due to global climate change.
Levees in New Orleans were known to be inadequate
for storms larger than category 3. Housing codes and
construction oversight in gulf region not adequate for perceived threat. |
World scientific study of climate change,
funded by and focused primarily on capitalist economic and political
interests, has been reticent to acknowledge or systemically address
human causes of global climate change. Until recently only vague connections
were made between the science and social, economic political policies. There
is still little unanimity on what steps are necessary to remedy much less
prevent catastrophic changes. |
3 |
Political factors
contributing to problem. |
Choices of land development and environmental impact
were dictated by capital interests, so the public impact and interests were
of such little concern. This meant that warnings were ignored or suppressed.
In New Orleans, responsibility for levee maintenance was subordinated to
other Defense Department objectives. The fact that it was the poorest
neighborhoods that were most at risk exacerbated the problem. |
The dominant interest of world capital has long been
maximum exploitation of the environment to maximize profits, dictating
disregard of the degradation of the environment and human life. The dominant
position of energy corporations in the ruling class mandates our continued
addiction to oil, coal and fossil fuels, and the military spending necessary
to protect their dominant role in the world. |
4 |
Leadership |
Locally, leadership served the interests of capital
and any attempts to point out the failure and complicity of political and
financial leadership were ignored or suppressed. Essentially, the needs of
the general public were secondary or dismissed. |
As with Katrina, the major governmental leadership
is beholden to corporate interests. Even as the evidence of the threats are
acknowledged, they continue to focus on corporate interests as they sacrifice
public interests. |
5 |
Leadership failures |
Even now, presidential candidates declare there will
be “No More Katrina Mishaps!” as if there was no systemic problem. Local
leadership virtually ignored the warnings about the inevitability of damaging
hurricanes, failures of the levees, dangerous development and destruction of
protective wetlands. Emergency planning was a farce or worse. During the
crisis, local and national responses were poorly designed afterthoughts that
continued to disrespect people’s needs and instead provided primary attention
to profits and the future of business. Again and again, it was the people
themselves who provided what care they could. Not one leader of influence
stood with the people’s needs against corporate interests. This pattern
continues. (Many specifics could be entered here, including the US rejecting
experienced medical assistance offered free from Cuba, and the ongoing
failures to restore or maintain not only property, but the health and lives
of the majority of people. ) |
Even though some among the ruling class and
established military-economic interests have recognized the real dangers of
climate change, most of the leadership resists fully informing the public of
what it will take to protect the environment and their interests. They
predictably protect their employer’s interests and either deny the need for
fundamental changes or resist and slow the process, even as this risks
failure to prevent catastrophes. Faced with evidence that these worldwide
catastrophes will lead to greater instability, poverty, starvation,
instability, conflict, and wars over food, water and survival, the wealthy
and their agents are instead preparing to protect themselves by ever greater
accumulation of wealth and power.
We need to expose the certainty that capitalist
leadership will not only profit off climate change and efforts to address it,
but will sacrifice the lives, health and cultures of the many for the benefit
of the few. |
6 |
What would have been
required to adequately inform, prepare and protect the public? |
Leadership beholden to capital interests would have
had to be replaced or forced to be responsive to the public’s needs. Such
leadership would taken scientific warnings seriously and sought public
understanding and support for plans to protect both the environment and the
public immediately and long-range. The rights of the people over corporate
interests would have guided the plans. For example, preplanning for the
eventuality of serious hurricanes would have been based on analysis of total
needs and included practical exercises to evacuate all to safety, and return
the people and repair the economy as a whole. |
To protect itself, the public needs to be fully
informed what we face from uncompromised science and political leaders, what
must be done and by when if greater catastrophes are to be avoided. The
complicity and inadequacy of current leadership must be exposed and they must
be replaced or forced to carry out all necessary changes. |
7 |
What political changes
would have to have taken place? |
Prior to Katrina, the poor and working people of the
area had inadequate resources, information and access to representation.
Efforts to improve their political involvement were not sufficient to
overcome entrenched power.
Obviously, the choice of leadership and responsible
officials would have to be determined by an informed public and not
undermined by false beliefs in the immutability of corporate or class
inequalities.
Perhaps if the whole progressive forces in the US
had seen both the tragedy and opportunity it presented, we could have made a
mass mobilization to intervene in New Orleans and the coastal areas. |
To develop and establish an adequate worldwide
response requires the creation of a massive supportive bloc able to challenge
and demand changes in established power as needed, not only be individual
efforts or greening one company at a time. If the public understands how it
is possible to prevent any portion of catastrophic changes, they will require
leadership and government responses that address the imperatives of tipping
points and deadlines and puts necessary social constraints on capitalist
production. The majority must understand that leadership not beholden to
dominant capitalism can open up a path to the essential eco-socialist
approach. To build such a majority is to promote a climate that allows living
wages, union jobs in a green economy and survival for many. |
8 |
What barriers would have
to be overcome? |
In New Orleans and the Gulf area, long standing
control by capital of government and most media made sure the general
population was dis-empowered by distractions, hopelessness, resignation or
wishful thinking. Could some of this have been overcome? (Yes, but see above
on the necessity of mass organizing and a focus on the imperative of prevention
of the catastrophe.) |
While the general public is currently aware of many
of the threats, they still remain mostly dis-empowered, by distractions,
hopelessness, resignation or wishful thinking, especially when it comes to
the specifics of what must be done and how the current leadership is in the
way of solutions. To most Americans, taking power away from military
corporate interests is not a serious consideration. Unconsciously most
Americans are becoming resigned to the coming catastrophes. |
9 |
Proposed Solutions -
General |
Brief review of primary proposals to address the
Katrina/Gulf disaster. |
Brief review of the primary world wide plans to
address Global Warming, Climate Change or C3. Include
likely outcomes and costs, compare and break down by politics, costs and
outcomes. |
10 |
Proposed Solutions -
Progressive |
Brief review of progressive efforts to prepare &
protect NO/Gulf Coast. |
Brief review of the primary world wide
"progressive" plans to address Global Warming, Climate Change or
C3. Include likely outcomes and costs, compare and
break down by politics, costs and outcomes. |
11 |
Why Solutions Resisted |
Analysis of why not preventing Katrina was in some
people's interest, i.e. "Shock Doctrine." |
How the environmental movement might successfully expose
and oppose the "Shock Doctrine" interests by promoting the
implementation of a reality based C3 prevention program worldwide. Include likely outcomes and costs. |
12 |
What specific role of
socialists could make a difference? |
Progressive efforts would have had significant
impact if they had.....????? |
Developing an eco-socialist analysis that presents
the overall situation and shows the consequences with and without
change in the power structure, and with time-lines, shows why it is necessary
to shift policy control and resources from the military-industrial complex -
and suggests how this can be done so it addresses preventing C3. |
13 |
Why didn't’t progressive
forces do better? |
Analysis of roles of progressive forces, strengths
and weaknesses in the NO/Gulf region leading up to Katrina.- |
Analysis of current strengths and weaknesses and why
continuing with present focus will not be sufficient. |
14 |
What can progressive
forces do differently that will make it possible to have an influence now. |
Based on the failures of progressives (people's
interests) to prevent Katrina, they would have had to..... |
Work together with all other progressive forces to
present a realistic understanding of what we face and demand the public’s
interests be respected in the implementation of C3 strategies.
Lay out a possible scenario incorporating our
eco-socialist analysis and applied solutions, both political and scientific. |
15 |
Failure equals.... |
Summarize the losses from failing to prevent
Katrina, etc. extrapolating the long range outcome. |
Using Katrina impact, extrapolate to world losses if
C3 not prevented. |
16 |
Timelines |
Timeline of what actually happened, with future
expectation.
Timeline of what would have had to happen to prevent Katrina disaster. |
Timelines of what will happen if C3 and what will
have to happen if C3 prevented via an eco-socialist solution.- |
17 |
Additional components? |
|
|
References
and citations: (Add, describe and categorize.)
A. Left
Proposals to deal with Climate Change (all left, except explicitly socialist
perspectives):
1. Manifesto On Global Economic
Transitions, A Project of The International Forum on Globalization, The
Institute For Policy Studies, Global Project on Economic Transitions, Sept.
2007. http://www.ifg.org/pdf/manifesto.pdf from International Forum on Globalization http://www.ifg.org.
B. Socialist
Perspectives on Climate Change (those that use a socialist analysis on both cause
and cure):
1. The Debate Heats up, Transforming
food into fuels [corn ethanol] is a monstrosity. Fidel Castro, May 10, 2007. http://www.rhc.cu/ingles/noticias/mayo07/10mayo/cubanoti1.htm
2. The Tragedy Threatening our Species. Fidel Castro, May
8, 2007. http://www.rhc.cu/ingles/noticias/mayo07/8mayo/cubanoti1.htm
3. It is Imperative to Immediately Carry out an Energy
Revolution. Fidel Castro, May 1, 2007. http://www.rhc.cu/ingles/noticias/mayo07/mayo1/cubanoti2.htm
4. An Ecosocialist Manifesto, By Joel Kovel
and Michael Lowy (Sept 2001) http://www.ecosocialistnetwork.org/Docs/EcoManifesto.htm
The Second Ecosocialist Manifesto (In preparation) Proposed at the founding
convention of the Ecosocialist International Network, Paris October 7-8, 2007.
http://www.ecosocialistnetwork.org/index.htm .
5. Social Change to Stop Climate
Change, statement from Climate Change/Social Change conference, Sydney,
Australia, April 24, 2008. Posted at Greenleft.org.au & a better formatted version.
C. Neo-liberal
Responses to Climate Change (differentiated from left, system challengers
proposals):
1. Al Gore.
2. Tony Blair warned “that the world
will reach ‘catastrophic tipping points’ on climate change within 15 years,
unless serious action is taken to tackle global warming ”at the EU summit in
Lahti, Finland 10/20/2006. Blair’s letter: http://www.pm.gov.uk/files/pdf/Vanhanen.pdf
3. Robert F. Kennedy Jr., The Next
President's First Task [A Manifesto], Vanity Fair, May 2008. http://tinyurl.com/57rto4
4. U.S. Climate Change Science
Program, "U.S. Already Affected by Warming" in "Report Details
Effects of Climate Change Across U.S." by Juliet Eilperin, The Washington
Post, May 28, 2008. http://tinyurl.com/5qcx9g The research by the Agriculture Dept. was carried out by 38 scientists,
researching thousands of papers.
5. Tony Blair, Leading On Climate
Change: How Action in Congress Can Move the World, The Washington Post, May 29,
2008. http://tinyurl.com/5arznh
D.
Global Corporate Responses to Climate Change (include government and military
components of capitalism):
1. UN Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC) - Feb 3, 2007 http://www.ipcc.ch/
2. Center for Naval Analysis http://securityandclimate.cna.org/ Comprehensive assessment of the national security implications of global
climate change for U.S. policymakers concerned about threats to national
security. Report http://securityandclimate.cna.org/report/ Briefing on the report http://securityandclimate.cna.org/report/CNA_NatlSecurityAndTheThreatOfClimateChange.pdf
E.
Climate Change Deniers (include primary institutions and trends):
Vaclav Klaus, President Czech Republic, Blue Planet in
Green Shackles: What Is Endangered: Climate of Freedom, 2008. "The largest
threat to freedom, democracy, the market economy, and prosperity at the end of
the 20th and at the beginning of the 21st century is no longer socialism. It
is, instead, the ambitious, arrogant, unscrupulous ideology of
environmentalism."
(Include
best analysis of each of the main issues, with links.)
[Prepared by Walter Teague, Updated 7/23/2009]